Coronavirus blamed as US economy posts worst annual decline since 1946

The US economy suffered its worst annual decline for 74 years in 2020 as the pandemic crushed business activity and pushed millions of Americans out of work, official figures have shown.

Gross domestic product (GDP) shrank by 3.5%, the biggest fall since 1946 when America was demobilising after the Second World War.

Output is now recovering after the depths of the crisis earlier in the year but remains below pre-pandemic levels and the bounce-back slowed significantly in the final quarter of 2020 amid a resurgence in cases.

.S. Presidential nominee and former Vice President Joe Biden talks with workers as he tours the Wisconsin Aluminum Foundry before delivering remarks at a campaign event in the factory in Manitowoc, Wisconsin, U.S., September 21, 2020
Image:Joe Biden has proposed a $1.9trn stimulus package

Prospects for the world’s biggest economy look likely to hinge on the distribution of vaccines to fight the virus.

The stark GDP data underscored the need for US legislators to pass new president Joe Biden’s $1.9trn stimulus package, according to a White House advisor.

Nearly $3trn in aid has been distributed already with a further $900bn approved in December under outgoing president Donald Trump.

America’s downturn, following 2.2% growth in 2019, is the first annual decline since the global financial crisis of 2007-2009.

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However it is much smaller than the 10% GDP collapse expected to have been experienced by Britain according to the International Monetary Fund’s latest forecast.

Official UK figures are due next month.

Meanwhile China, the world’s second biggest economy, bounced back more quickly than global rivals from the coronavirus crisis to post historically-weak but still positive annual growth of 2.3%.

Shoppers are seen outside a retail store as the phase one reopening of New York City continues during the outbreak of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in the Brooklyn borough of New York City, New York, U.S. June 9, 2020
Image:Consumer spending declined at its sharpest rate since 1932

In America the 2020 downturn was exemplified by a 3.9% decline in consumer spending, its worst performance since 1932.

The US was in recession for the early part of the year before bouncing back to record growth in the third quarter – 33% at an annualised rate.

But the pace slowed to 4% in the fourth quarter as renewed business disruptions after case numbers rose again, together with delays in delivering the latest government aid package.

Earlier this week, the US Federal Reserve left interest rates near zero and pledged to continue pumping money into the economy through bond purchases.

Hundreds of people line up outside a Kentucky Career Center hoping to find assistance with their unemployment claim in Frankfort, Kentucky, U.S. June 18, 2020
Image:Unemployment claims remain at historically high levels

It noted that “the pace of the recovery in economic activity and employment has moderated in recent months”.

Economists expect economic growth to pick speed again over the summer as new stimulus takes effect.

For now the unemployment rate of 6.7%, while sharply down on the near 15% level seen in April, is still nearly twice as high as before the pandemic.

Figures published at the same time as Thursday’s GDP data recorded 847,000 new unemployment claims last week alone.

That was much lower than during last spring when the weekly numbers neared seven million but still historically high and worse than in the depths of the 2007-2009 downturn.

Mark Gibson

Graduates in Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois 1990. Move to Los Angeles California in 2004. Specialized in Internet journalism.

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